Liverpool hosts Brighton & Hove Albion at Anfield on Saturday, 13 December 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 3:00 pm (UK time). With all the fuss around Salah’s comments after the last Premier League game and the pressure building on Slot after a poor season so far, this looks set to be the fixture of the weekend – unfortunately, it’s not being televised in the UK! It’s a Premier League fixture between two sides who usually serve up goals, drama and very few dull moments. Let’s dive into the stats.
- Liverpool v Brighton H2H record
- Liverpool v Brighton under/over goal stats
- Liverpool v Brighton xG stats
Liverpool v Brighton H2H Record
The historical head-to-head between Liverpool and Brighton strongly favours the Reds:
- Matches played: 20
- Liverpool wins: 12
- Draws: 4
- Brighton wins: 4
- Liverpool goals: 44 (avg. 2.2 per game)
- Brighton goals: 26 (avg. 1.3 per game)
- Total goals: 70 across 20 matches (avg. 3.5 per game)
Liverpool hold a commanding edge in results, winning 60% of all meetings. Still, the fixture
is rarely straightforward, with Brighton regularly finding the net and contributing to what
has become one of the Premier League’s most attack-heavy matchups.
Liverpool v Brighton Under/Over Goal Stats
The goals data for the last 20 Liverpool v Brighton meetings is remarkably consistent:
- Over 1.5 goals: 17 of 20 matches (85%)
- Over 2.5 goals: 15 of 20 matches (75%)
- Over 3.5 goals: 9 of 20 matches (45%)
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): 14 of 20 matches (70%)
These numbers highlight a fixture that consistently delivers goals. Over 2.5 has landed in
three-quarters of all meetings, while BTTS has hit 70% of the time — a strong indicator
that both attacks tend to flourish whenever these two sides meet.
Clean Sheets
- Liverpool clean sheets: 20% of H2H games
- Brighton clean sheets: 10% of H2H games
Clean sheets have been rare for both sides, reinforcing just how open and high-event this
matchup usually is. Brighton’s ability to score, even in games they lose, is a recurring theme.
Liverpool v Brighton xG Stats
Expected goals (xG) adds further depth to the analysis by showing how dangerous each side has
been in the 2025/26 Premier League season.
Liverpool xG Profile (2025/26 Premier League)
- xG (overall): 1.71 per match
- xGA (overall): 1.30 per match
- xG difference (xGD): +0.41 per match
- Actual goals scored (GF): 1.60 per match
- Actual goals conceded (GA): 1.60 per match
- xG vs Actual: –0.11
Liverpool’s xG numbers show a team that generally creates far more than it concedes. The
positive xGD of +0.41 suggests they should be winning matches more comfortably than some
results indicate, even if their actual goals scored and conceded currently sit level.
Brighton xG Profile (2025/26 Premier League)
- xG (overall): 1.58 per match
- xGA (overall): 1.36 per match
- xG difference (xGD): +0.22 per match
- Actual goals scored (GF): 1.67 per match
- Actual goals conceded (GA): 1.40 per match
- xG vs Actual: +0.09
Brighton’s underlying numbers are also positive, with a strong balance between chance creation
and defensive structure. They score slightly above their expected rate, reflecting the quality
and style of their attacking play.
What the xG Tells Us About This Fixture
Both teams enter this game with a positive xGD, indicating high-quality chance creation.
Liverpool’s stronger metrics and home advantage should give them the edge, but Brighton’s
consistent attacking output and their strong BTTS record in this matchup suggest they should
still pose a serious threat at Anfield.
