Burnley v Fulham Preview: H2H, Goals & xG at Turf Moor

Burnley host Fulham at Turf Moor on
Saturday 13 December 2025, with kick-off set for
5:30pm (UK time). It’s an important Premier League clash between two sides
who know each other well and usually produce an open, attacking game.

Burnley v Fulham H2H Record

The head-to-head record between Burnley and Fulham in recent meetings leans towards the Clarets:

  • Matches played: 11
  • Burnley wins: 6
  • Draws: 3
  • Fulham wins: 2
  • Burnley goals: 21 (approx. 1.9 per game)
  • Fulham goals: 15 (approx. 1.4 per game)
  • Total goals: 36 across 11 matches (approx. 3.3 per game)

Burnley have clearly had the upper hand, winning more than half of the meetings so far,
while Fulham have just two victories. The goal numbers underline how competitive the fixtures
have been: Burnley are slightly ahead on the scoreboard, but an average of just over three goals
per game shows that both teams tend to contribute to lively contests.

Burnley v Fulham Under/Over Goal Stats

Looking specifically at goals markets from those 11 matches:

  • Over 1.5 goals: 11 of 11 matches (100%)
  • Over 2.5 goals: 7 of 11 matches (64%)
  • Over 3.5 goals: 4 of 11 matches (36%)
  • Both Teams To Score (BTTS): 7 of 11 matches (64%)

Every single meeting has produced at least two goals, and nearly two-thirds have gone over 2.5.
BTTS has also landed in just under two-thirds of the games. All of that points towards a fixture
that usually opens up, with both sides finding chances and the scoreline rarely staying low.

Clean Sheets

  • Burnley clean sheets: 27% of H2H games
  • Fulham clean sheets: 9% of H2H games

Burnley have managed to shut Fulham out more often, which fits with their stronger win record.
Fulham’s clean sheets have been much rarer, suggesting that even when they get a result,
they usually have to score rather than rely on a defensive lockout.

Burnley v Fulham xG Stats

The xG model leans slightly towards Burnley, projecting them to create the better chances
on the day. The combined xG of around 1.57 is lower than the historical average of just over
three goals per game between the sides, which suggests that if the match follows recent trends,
it could end up being more open – and higher scoring – than the model alone might imply.

  • Burnley xG: 1.00
  • Fulham xG: 0.57

Overall, the historical H2H, goal trends and xG numbers all point to a contest where Burnley
hold a slight edge, especially at home, but Fulham have enough attacking threat to keep things
interesting and potentially turn it into another entertaining Premier League encounter.